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Singapore: Oil recovers some previous losses on planned output cut

But concerns linger that some will not comply with Opec’s plan

SINGAPORE: Oil edged up on hopes that some planned output cuts agreed by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and other producers would be implemented, recovering some ground from losses the previous day over doubts the reductions would rebalance an oversupplied market.

Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were trading at US$55.20 per barrel at 0827 GMT, up 25 cents, or 0.45%, from the previous close.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were trading at US$52.222 per barrel, up 26 cents, or 0.5%.

Analysts said the gains yesterday came from expectations that some of the cuts planned by Opec, especially Saudi Arabia and Abu Dhabi, would materialise despite doubts over full implementation.

“Latest comments from Opec members … suggest that members are making output adjustments to comply with agreed cuts,” Dutch bank ING said.

“Coordinated output cuts will support the market rebalancing that will draw down global stock levels, leading us to revise up our Brent crude forecast for 2017 to US$57 per barrel,” BMI Research said.

Traders said that strong demand from India also supported prices. Fuel demand from the world’s third-biggest oil consumer hit 16.53 million tonnes in December, up 4.3% from the same period last year.

Despite this, many analysts still saw a risk that overall production may not be reduced as envisaged.

Crude plunged by around 4% in the previous session on concerns that rising output in Iran and also Iraq were undermining efforts to curb a global fuel supply glut that has weighed on markets for over two years.

Supplies are also increasing in North America.

The average Canadian rig count for December 2016 was 209, up 36 from the 173 counted in November 2016, and up 49 from the 160 counted in December 2015, said Matt Stanley, a fuel broker at Freight Services International in Dubai.

“A 30% increase in Canadian rigs in a year … The bear in me is well and truly back,” he added.

In the United States, energy companies last week added rigs for a 10th week in a row, extending the drilling recovery into an eighth month as crude prices remained at levels at which many US drillers can operate profitably.

Adding one-off supplies, the US Department of Energy on Monday announced a sale for crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), with bids for 8 million barrels of light, sweet oil due by Jan 17.

“US SPR sales add to bearish pressures on US crude,” Citi said following the release of the bids. — Reuters

Source: http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2017/01/11/oil-recovers-some-previous-losses-on-planned-output-cut/